Home

From the Vol.1,No.2 issue of Electronic Intelligence Weekly


CHENEY VISITS THE FRONT

Several important, but inconclusive developments on the Middle East war-front have emerged during the past week, as Vice-President Dick Cheney tours the Middle East. To begin with, someone, probably from inside the White House, had raised the world's military temperature a notch or two with a nasty press-leak in the Los Angeles Times.

Vice-President Cheney, Defense Secretary Rumsfeld, and President Bush himself have been suspiciously evasive, in the efforts they have made not to deny the gist of what the Los Angeles Times and other media have reported as the contents of the allegedly classified version of the administration's "Nuclear Posture Review" (NPR). Notably, what was leaked, was the claim that the United States had targetted five non-nuclear powers for possible nuclear strikes in case of conflict. These include not only Bush's "axis of evil" countries: Iraq, Iran and North Korea,— but also Libya and Syria. The leak emphasize that U.S. policy was to greatly reduce the threshold for use of nuclear weapons in war, in favor of the administration's intention to develop new generations, or simply retooled varieties of battlefield nuclear weapons.

The leak was new, but the policy was old. Press coverage in the aftermath of the initial Los Angeles Times leak emphasized, that the proposal had already been placed on the desk of President William Clinton, and, allegedly rejected. Notably, on the same point, Russian General (ret.) Leonid Ivashov had already reported this U.S. policy shift in January of this year. Secretary Rumsfeld has confirmed, that this NPR was presented to the Russian government, that January. Ivashov's response to this release had added, that this new nuclear doctrine might be aimed at reducing so-called "overpopulation" in certain tropical countries rich in natural resources, pointing thus to sub-Saharan, "black" Africa.

On the subject of the NPR announcement itself EIW founder and strategic defense specialist Lyndon H. LaRouche, Jr., has emphasized the incompetence of any near-term proposal in the direction of NPR deployment. Therefore, LaRouche concluded, the purpose of the leak was essentially to intimidate other nations, including European allies. Nothing really new in weapons-systems was actually put on the table. Nonetheless, one of the effects of the leak was to press down hard, psychologically, upon a Europe already under heavy, accelerating pressures from the U.S.A. to submit to the caprices of what most leading Europeans recognize as an insane, but probably irresistable pressure for global religious and ethnic warfare, coming from the government and establishment of the U.S.A.

Naturally, this leak is aimed at producing a pre-calculated effect on a U.S. population in which deep-rooted memories of the 1962 Cuba Missiles Crisis can be excited. Although, so far, this attempt has had only limited success among Americans living outside of New York and Washington, D.C., predictably, those Americans who tend to be most hysterical, are found in Washington , D.C., including members of the Bush Administration themselves. The U.S. capital is currently gripped by a wild-eyed war-hysteria not seen so far around most of the nation. After all, it is hysterical Washington which wishes, and is likely to launch the war, whether the rest of the nation wishes or not.

To understand the pressures urging the U.S. to go to war at this time, we must taken into account the fact, that all these mad policies, come from the combination of an hysterical Israeli war-party's lobby inside the U.S. which is allied with the utopian, "Clash of Civilizations" gang of Zbigniew Brzezinski, his Samuel P. Huntington, Henry Kissinger, Bernard Lewis, and their like. Typical enthusiasts sources include Paul Wolfowitz's cabal inside and around the administration, including Richard Perle, John Bolton, Douglas Feith, and many others. The concern is, that, by default, President George W. Bush and his circle are acting, more and more, as the tool of this combination of Israeli war-lords and wild-eyed U.S. military utopians. So, the world slides toward a global war of incalculable consequences, even if the Bush White House and others show a degree of reluctance in their step by step submission to pressures.

To understand what is working from behind the scenes now, it must not be forgotten that the September 11 attacks did not come from enemies outside the U.S.A., but from a parallel covert network operating from within a very high level inside the U.S. military. Nor can any thoughtful analyst overlook the fact, that the only evidence bearing on the motives of those attackers, was the actual result of the attacks themselves. These attacks served no purpose but to promote the "Cash of Civilizations" strategy represented by Brzezinski and his cronies. As LaRouche pointed out on the morning of September 11 and ever since, the purpose of the September 11 attacks was a military coup against the reluctance of President George Bush to launch that war against the Islamic world which Israel's present government intended, to unleash the general "Clash of Civilizations" war which is the current strategic policy of those wild-eyed U.S. military utopians associated with the doctrines of Brzezinski and Samuel P. Huntington.

Meanwhile, to official Washington's great dismay, the war begun in Afghanistan enters an entirely predictable new phase. Looking at the history of the 1980s war there, recent evidence is that that war has entered a phase which became characteristic of the Afghan mountain-based war-fighting against Soviet forces during the 1980s. The real war in Afghanistan has just begun, and the U.S. military is stuck in what General Tommy Franks described, in a pregnant slip of his tongue, as a war in Vietnam.

Since Sept. 11th, back in Washington, D.C. and the capitals of western Europe, the political battlefront has wandered through an inconclusive, now worsening conflict in Afghanistan, and back again, to the original choice of first target, Iraq. At the same time, despite what the briefers may be saying to mislead President Bush into believing the Afghanistan situation is under control, the U.S.A. military is currently bogged down in a new phase of warfare in Afghanistan. For these and other reasons, the U.S. military is ill-prepared to launch a credible military attack on Iraq. Remember that Iraq as such is only the first prime target. The real purpose of the intended attack is to unleash an unstoppable, virtually global religious and ethnic warfare through more and more of Asia, and beyond.

The toughest pressures on the U.S.A. to launch immediate warfare against Iraq are coming from the increasingly panic-stricken government of Israel's Prime Minister Sharon. The issue in U.S. circles is not whether to attack Iraq, but when. The weather itself provides only two options for such an attack, this Spring, or this coming Autumn. The U.S. military, whose situation is aggravated by turn of developments in Afghanistan, is not prepared for a Spring operation, and would not be ready, by reasonable estimates, earlier than the Autumn.

Meanwhile, there is a growing minority from within Israel itself, even from traditionally hard-line military circles, to bring Sharon's war to an end. The growing perception, even among Israelis, that Sharon is doing to the Palestinians what Hitler did against the Jewish resistance in the Warsaw Ghetto, and the attempts by some to tatoo identification numbers on young Palestinians, have sent shudders of revulsion against these tactics from within presently surviving veterans of the Nazi holocaust and others.

Since Sharon has no intention to abandon the policy of driving the Palestinian population into Jordan, Sharon needs that attack now; his personal situation, politically, as Prime Minister, and as Israel's war- leader, is deteriorating rapidly. Only a U.S. attack on Iraq before the deadly Summer desert heat sets in, would probably prevent a collapse of the Sharon government, possibly his dumping in favor of former Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. Under these circumstances, the pressure of the Israeli war-hawk lobby on both the U.S. Presidency and Congress, the money and other pressures on both parties, is enormous, and building up rapidly.

This combination of developments, all focussed on the build-up toward a spreading war, have added new dimensions to the rising interest of leading circles in Lyndon LaRouche's analysis of September 11. During the past week, this analysis has gained the widest publicity in Iran, while continuing to be widely circulated throughout the Arab Islamic world. It was featured in an high-level Tehran seminar, and in interviews with LaRouche and with his associate Muriel Mirak-Weissbach which were featured in the national press and on the radio. Former Iranian President Hashemi Rafsanjani, now Chairman of Iran's Expediency Council, cited LaRouche by name on this question, in his Friday prayer service at Tehran University on March 15.

One of the crucial factors responsible for the rising interest in LaRouche's analysis, from many parts of the world, is LaRouche's development of certain parallels between the economic setting for the Sept. 11th attacks and the circumstances under which a group of Anglo- American financiers, headed by former Bank of England head Montagu Norman, organized and funded the coup d'etat which brought their choice, Adolf Hitler, into power in Germany. Despite the hysterical attempts to deny reality, the present world financial system has been passing through successive, 1997, 1998, 2000, and 2001, phases of a general, continuing breakdown of the post-1971 world monetary-financial system.

This week, in vivid contrast to the prevailing mythology about an alleged "recovery," the head of the crucial Bank for International Settlements (BIS) Andrew Crockett warned The Financial Regulator of the threat of a new "asset price inflation," which might replicate the disaster of the Japanese financial crisis on a world scale. The Japanese financial crisis, he said, is much worse than people think. At the same time, the BIS March, 2002, "Quarterly Review" on "International Banking and Financial Market Developments," warned that current price/earnings ratios are rivalling their peaks of April, 2000, and implicitly that they are unsustainable, even over the short term.

Not only is the ongoing systemic economic breakdown crisis, the cause of the U.S. drive towards a war with Iraq which would be an historic catastrophe. It is also on the economic front where Lyndon LaRouche has determined that this war drive can be turned. On the prospects for organizing an actual U.S. economy recovery, see his forthcoming article on the implications of the Bush Administration decision to protect American steel production, entitled, "'Fair Trade' as a Phase-Shift."

30-30-30